Ireland weather: November snow verdict as maps show exact date temperatures drop to freezing

As we head into November, Ireland is poised to experience more typical autumn weather. The upcoming month typically brings a gradual drop in temperatures, with frosty mornings becoming a frequent occurrence across the country.

Notably, the coldest November temperature ever recorded in Ireland was a baltic -11.5C in Wexford back in 2010. While such extreme weather is not expected this year, Met Eireann has updated its long-range forecast, offering a week-by-week overview of potential weather trends.

The meteorological service issues monthly forecasts to provide an insight into weather patterns in the month ahead, but notes “they have generally low skill compared with the 10-day forecast” as forecasts beyond one week “become increasingly uncertain due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere”.

It’s bad news for fans of snow hoping to see flurries over the coming weeks, as Met Eireann has given its verdict, saying that currently no snow is expected. In fact, for much of the month, temperatures are signalled to be average or slightly above average.

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Nevertheless, some notably chilly days and nights are anticipated with the national forecaster saying "night time frosts cannot be ruled out".

This comes as weather maps - which are subject to change this far out - show freezing temperatures during the day on Thursday, November 14.

Here’s a week by week breakdown of Met Eireann’s long-range November forecast.

Monday, November 4 to Sunday, November 10

Met Eireann said: "Week 1 is signalled to be largely settled. High pressure to our east and northeast will dominate Ireland’s weather. This will result in often dry conditions with rainfall amounts likely to be below average, though occasional outbreaks of rain are still possible. A southerly or southeasterly airflow will lie across Ireland, so it will also stay quite mild with temperatures signalled to be above normal. Frost by night is less likely as a result. Given the time of year, mist and fog may also develop under these conditions."

Monday, November 11 to Sunday, November 17

The National Forecaster continued: "High pressure is signalled to remain the dominant feature of our weather during week two, with settled conditions persisting as a result. While occasional outbreaks of rain are still possible, overall rainfall amounts are likely to be below average. It will also stay milder than average, which will lower the likelihood of night time frosts."

Monday, November 18 to Sunday, November 24

The meteorological service added: "Confidence decreases in week 3. Current signals indicate that high pressure will decrease southwards, allowing a more westerly airflow to become established over the country. This may allow Atlantic frontal systems to affect the country at times, with rainfall amounts possibly higher than average in Atlantic coastal counties. Elsewhere, rainfall is signalled to be near average, or slightly below in the south and southeast. Temperatures will remain just above average but night time frosts cannot be ruled out."

Monday, November 25 to Sunday, December 1

It's long-range prediction for the final week of November concluded: "There is a large degree of uncertainty in week 4 but indications suggest that high pressure to Ireland’s south will maintain a westerly airflow over the country. Some spells of rain will spread from the Atlantic at times, leading to slightly above average rainfall over the western half of the country with rainfall amounts closer to average elsewhere. Temperatures will remain just above average."

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